Tunisia is projected to become the world’s second-largest olive oil producer for the 2025/26 season, with five Arab countries landing in the global Top 10, according to International Olive Council (IOC) figures reported by Tunisian media on October 9, 2026.
Tunisia’s Projected Output and the Global Top 5
The IOC’s early 2025/26 forecast puts Tunisia at roughly 450,000 tonnes of olive oil, placing it just behind Spain, which is expected to lead the world with about 1.372 million tonnes. Italy, Türkiye and Greece round out the global Top 5. If the estimate holds, it would mark one of Tunisia’s strongest seasons on record and reinforce the country’s position as a dependable bulk supplier even as total world production is forecast to dip to around 3.44 million tonnes, down roughly 4% from the previous season.
Morocco, Syria, Algeria and Egypt Also Make the List
Beyond Tunisia, four more Arab producers are projected to appear in the world’s Top 10: Morocco in 6th place with about 160,000 tonnes, Syria in 8th with roughly 95,000 tonnes, Algeria in 9th with about 75,500 tonnes, and Egypt in 10th with around 50,000 tonnes. Combined, the five Arab nations are expected to produce close to 830,500 tonnes this season, a sizeable share of global supply concentrated in North Africa and the Levant. For buyers comparing origins, Tunisia’s scale and established export infrastructure give it a clear edge over its regional peers; sourcing directly through an established Tunisian olive oil broker can help secure volume from the region’s largest Arab producer before the season’s best lots move.
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FAQ
Is Tunisia really the world’s second-largest olive oil producer? Based on the International Olive Council’s early 2025/26 forecast reported in October 2026, Tunisia is projected to produce about 450,000 tonnes of olive oil, ranking it second worldwide behind Spain and ahead of Italy, Türkiye and Greece.
Which other Arab countries are among the world’s top olive oil producers? Alongside Tunisia, Morocco, Syria, Algeria and Egypt are all projected to rank in the global Top 10 for 2025/26, with the five Arab nations together expected to produce roughly 830,500 tonnes of olive oil this season.
Source: Tuniscope, citing International Olive Council (IOC) 2025/26 forecast data, October 9, 2026.
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